William O'Neil
"Fundamentals are strong: ARR compounding (+12% in 2024; +13% TTM by H1 2025), profitability restored with rising margins, FCF improving, net cash, dividend growth, and NRR trending higher (96%→97%). Product cost-downs (TCSV17) and software upgrades should further lift unit economics. Risks—2G replacement overhang (declining), competitive intensity, FX, and US execution—are manageable in context. Valuation (P/E ~25–28x; P/FCF ~35x; P/S ~4.3x) is fair for a quality ARR compounding story but not a table‑pounding bargain. From a strict O’Neil CAN SLIM lens, the ideal buy point is a breakout above the recent consolidation (≈290–300p) on volume in a confirmed market uptrend. Thus, maintain HOLD, with a buy trigger on a decisive breakout (or buy on constructive pullbacks near rising 200‑day support with tight risk controls)."
Overview
An investment analysis of Quartix Technologies plc (LSE:QTX), a UK-based subscription telematics provider for SME fleets, using William J. O’Neil’s CAN SLIM framework, integrating the company’s audited results, trading updates, and current market/price data to guide a potential buy/sell/hold decision.
Financial and Business Overview
Business model: Quartix sells subscription-based vehicle telematics to SME fleets across the UK, France, USA, Italy, Spain and Germany. The model is ARR-driven with high gross margins, low capex, and rising net revenue retention (NRR). 2024 audited results (year to 31 Dec 2024): Revenue £32.4m (+8%), adjusted EBITDA £6.5m (+21%), adjusted PBT £6.3m (+25%), statutory profit £4.77m (vs 2023 loss), gross margin ~69%, operating margin ~20%. ARR grew to £32.2m (+12%), fleet units 300,168 (+13%), customers 30,134 (+11%), NRR 96%. Free cash flow £2.6m; net cash £3.1m; FY dividend 4.5p. H1 2025 trading (to 30 Jun 2025): Revenue £17.6m (+10%), PBT £3.5m (+31%), diluted EPS 5.52p vs 4.37p (+26%), FCF £2.5m, cash £4.1m; TTM ARR £35.0m (+13%); NRR improved to 97%. Balance sheet: net cash position, low financial leverage (Debt/Equity ~0.04), current ratio ~1.6. Capital intensity is low; contract cost assets amortize over customer terms. Dividend policy: ordinary dividend ~50% of operating cash flow (post tax, pre capex); FY24 dividend 4.5p; H1 2025 interim 2.5p. Key one-offs: provision for 2G replacements in France recognized in 2023; balance falling as program progresses; Konetik acquisition (2023) wound down; cost drag eliminated in 2024.
Market Position & Competitive Advantages
Position: Quartix focuses on SME fleets in Europe/US, a segment where service, price and simplicity matter as much as deep enterprise suites. It competes with larger telematics players (Verizon Connect, Samsara, Teletrac Navman, Spireon) but differentiates via: (1) high-touch service (Trustpilot/external awards), (2) cost leadership and product simplification for SMEs, (3) disciplined sales/marketing and improving NRR through indexed pricing (+~3% in 2024, >5% in 2025 guidance). Competitive advantages: Recurring revenue base with rising NRR (93% in 2023 to 96% in 2024 and ~97% by H1 2025); multi-market footprint diversifies growth (Italy/Spain/Germany ARR growth >30% TTM); new low-cost TCSV17 hardware cutting unit costs (~£8 per unit from H2 2025) and prior generation savings already flowing; updated web/mobile software platform deployed; cash generative with dividends and net cash. Risks: (1) Network sunset risk—France 2G replacement cost largely provisioned; remaining ~£1.7m at 30 Jun 2025; UK 2G sunset expected closer to decade-end but monitored. (2) Competition—larger peers with broader suites may pressure pricing in some segments. (3) FX—~42–45% revenue ex-UK creates currency exposure. (4) Execution in the US—channels rebuilt, positive progress but still a work-in-progress. (5) Small-cap liquidity and moderate daily volume may amplify volatility.
Stock Performance
Price 274p (GBX). 52-week range: 138p–322.9p. 52-week performance: +97–104% (sources report +96.8% to +103.6%). Trend: price is above the 200-day MA (~236p) but modestly below the 50-day MA (~287p), indicating a constructive longer-term uptrend with a near-term consolidation. Trailing TTM EPS ~11p implies a trailing P/E ~25–28x; P/S ~4.3x; P/FCF ~35–36x; dividend yield ~1.9%. Beta ~0.65 (lower volatility vs market). Average daily volume ~38–41k shares; shares outstanding ~48.43m.
CAN SLIM Analysis
Current Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS) Growth:
Positive. H1 2025 diluted EPS 5.52p vs 4.37p in H1 2024 (+26%). PBT +31%; revenue +10%. The most recent audited year (2024) swung back to 9.78p diluted EPS from a 2023 loss. This meets the CAN SLIM emphasis on strong, accelerating quarterly/half-year earnings growth. Data: Investegate Interim Results (24 Jul 2025); Final Results (3 Mar 2025).
Annual Earnings Increases:
Improving. 2024 diluted EPS 9.78p (vs 2023 loss), adjusted EBITDA +21%. Multi‑year context: EPS around ~10p in 2021–2022, dip into loss in 2023 due to one‑offs (France 2G provision and Konetik impairment), now restored and growing in 2024 with stronger H1 2025. Trajectory aligns with CAN SLIM’s ‘A’ after a temporary reset. Data: 2024 audited; MarketScreener EPS history corroborates trend.
New Products, Management, or Price Highs:
New. (1) Hardware: TCSV17 launched end‑2024; lowers manufacturing cost by ~£8 per unit from July 2025; earlier TCSV15 already cut costs. (2) Software: new web/mobile UI released to new customers in 2024; mobile app UI overhaul in early 2025; ongoing feature rollouts. (3) Pricing: inflation indexing introduced (≈3% in 2024; slightly over 5% in 2025 expected) lifting NRR. (4) Management: founder/Chair Andy Walters returned late‑2023, sharpened focus on core ARR growth and cost discipline. (5) Price highs: 52‑week high 322.9p; currently consolidating below that. These catalysts support CAN SLIM’s ‘N’.
Supply and Demand:
Supportive. Float ≈28.6m; insiders own ≈40%; institutions ≈47% (concentrated but healthy). Shares outstanding ~48.43m and stable; no dilutive issuance; dividends paid. 52‑week price up ~97–104% suggests net accumulation, though daily liquidity is moderate (~38–41k avg volume). Uptrend with a base forming under the 50‑day MA fits CAN SLIM’s preference to buy on breakouts from sound bases with rising volume.
Leader or Laggard:
Relative strength is high (52‑week +~100%; prior RSI readings ~70s during peaks). Versus UK small‑cap tech, QTX has led in 12‑month performance. Against global telematics growth leaders (e.g., Samsara), absolute growth is more measured, but within AIM/SMID UK tech, QTX acts like a leader. On CAN SLIM’s ‘L’, it scores positively.
Institutional Sponsorship:
Adequate and improving. Notable holders include Liontrust, Sanford DeLand, Schroders; recent increases by key holders reported. Ownership is broad but not crowded, leaving room for future sponsorship expansion—consistent with CAN SLIM’s ‘I’.
Market Direction:
Constructive but watch signals. The stock is above its 200‑day MA (long‑term uptrend intact) and below the 50‑day MA (near-term consolidation). CAN SLIM calls for purchases in confirmed uptrends and on breakouts. A high‑volume move back above ~290–300p (prior resistance area) would be a cleaner entry signal. If general market weakness persists, patience is prudent.
Conclusion
Fundamentals are strong: ARR compounding (+12% in 2024; +13% TTM by H1 2025), profitability restored with rising margins, FCF improving, net cash, dividend growth, and NRR trending higher (96%→97%). Product cost-downs (TCSV17) and software upgrades should further lift unit economics. Risks—2G replacement overhang (declining), competitive intensity, FX, and US execution—are manageable in context. Valuation (P/E ~25–28x; P/FCF ~35x; P/S ~4.3x) is fair for a quality ARR compounding story but not a table‑pounding bargain. From a strict O’Neil CAN SLIM lens, the ideal buy point is a breakout above the recent consolidation (≈290–300p) on volume in a confirmed market uptrend. Thus, maintain HOLD, with a buy trigger on a decisive breakout (or buy on constructive pullbacks near rising 200‑day support with tight risk controls).
Research Sources (19 found)
Quartix Technologies plc: Financial Data Forecasts Estimates and Expectations | QTX | GB00BLZH2C83 | MarketScreener
Published: 9/18/2025
Quartix Technologies (AIM:QTX) Statistics & Valuation Metrics
Published: 9/19/2025
Vehicle tracker Quartix reassures near-term on profits and cash
Published: 9/10/2025
Final Results | Company Announcement | Investegate
Published: 5/14/2025
Quartix Technologies PLC, QTX:LSE financials
Published: 5/14/2025
Is Trakm8 or Quartix right on car insurance telematics?
Published: 9/10/2025
Products, Competitors, Financials, Employees, Headquarters Locations
Published: 7/24/2025
Best Telematics Companies (2025): Ranked & Reviewed
Published: 8/5/2025
Quartix sees rise in profit, recurring revenue and customer numbers
Published: 7/3/2025
Result of AGM | Company Announcement | Investegate
Published: 5/15/2025
Quartix Technologies RNS Announcements | QTX RNS Announcements | Investegate
Published: 5/14/2025
Quartix Technologies PLC Share Price - QTX, RNS News, Articles, Quotes, & Charts (LON:QTX)
Published: 5/14/2025
Final Results | Company Announcement | Investegate
Published: 5/14/2025
Automotive Telematics Hardware Insightful Analysis: Trends, Competitor Dynamics, and Opportunities 2025-2033
Published: 7/25/2025
Automotive Telematics Systems 2025-2033 Overview: Trends, Competitor Dynamics, and Opportunities
Published: 8/2/2025
Aftermarket Vehicle Telematics 2025-2033 Overview: Trends, Competitor Dynamics, and Opportunities
Published: 7/22/2025
Telematics for On-Highway Vehicles Insightful Analysis: Trends, Competitor Dynamics, and Opportunities 2025-2033
Published: 7/22/2025
Quartix Technologies – emphasises “pleased to announce” results, but well behind earlier expectations…
Published: 5/14/2025
Quartix Technologies PLC, QTX:LSE profile
Published: 4/30/2025
Search Queries Generated
Quartix Technologies QTX financial health indicators including revenue growth margins cash flow liquidity and debt levels
Quartix Technologies QTX market position in fleet telematics with market share trends customer retention and pricing power
Quartix Technologies QTX recent news including earnings releases partnerships leadership changes or regulatory updates
Quartix Technologies QTX competitive risks from listed peers and other telematics firms regarding product differentiation and technological disruption
Quartix Technologies QTX market share trends and financial pressures such as debt load and acquisition challenges affecting growth