William O'Neil
"Through a CAN SLIM lens, AUGM does not qualify: no strong quarterly/annual EPS growth, not a price leader near highs, and market direction is mixed. However, the wide discount to NAV, lack of structural gearing, ongoing portfolio progress, and improving conditions for exits create a credible medium-term value thesis. Maintain HOLD/Watchlist and look to accumulate on confirmation: (1) tangible exits above carrying value, (2) discount narrowing trend, and (3) price/volume strength above key moving averages."
Overview
An investment analyst-style review of Augmentum Fintech PLC (LSE: AUGM) through the William J. O’Neil CAN SLIM lens, focused on quantitative facts from the provided structured data and corroborating sources, to assess whether AUGM merits BUY, SELL or HOLD today.
Financial and Business Overview
Augmentum Fintech PLC is a UK-listed, venture-style investment company focused on European fintech. It owns a concentrated portfolio (c.27 holdings) with large positions in Tide, Zopa and iwoca. The company targets capital growth via private fintech investments rather than recurring income. Key figures (as provided): market cap ~£150.6m at 90p; shares outstanding 167,280,902; currency: GBp. Trailing EPS is negative (EPS TTM: -0.07), which reflects fair value marks on private investments rather than operating losses from a trading business. Forward EPS/PE data in the feed (EPS forward 16.8; forward P/E 0.05) is not meaningful for an investment trust and should not be relied upon for valuation. The trust pays no dividend. Notably, third-party research indicates the shares trade at a wide discount to NAV (DIY Investor cites c.43% discount with NAV c.£270m as of Aug-2025), consistent with the market cap vs NAV commentary. Balance sheet risk appears contained (no structural gearing highlighted), and liquidity for follow-ons was noted in external coverage. The Board and Manager have been active on governance and alignment: a 2025 proposal to appoint Augmentum Capital LLP as Investment Adviser (with fee-sharing on future third-party funds) is designed to strengthen retention and performance alignment.
Market Position & Competitive Advantages
Position: AUGM is Europe’s leading publicly listed fintech fund and the UK’s only listed vehicle focusing on fintech, offering public-market investors access to predominantly private fintech growth. Competitive advantages: (1) Specialist deal flow in UK/EU fintech, with a track record of accessing quality names (e.g., Tide, Zopa, iwoca). (2) Permanent capital structure gives patient capital vs closed-ended VC funds. (3) Potential catalysts for NAV recognition via exits/IPO thaw as the cycle normalizes; management highlights signs of reopening capital markets. (4) Active buyback authorization (up to ~15% in 2024) provides an optional tool to reduce discount. Risks: (a) Exit timing and valuations are market-dependent; 2024 interim loss tied to investment marks underscores valuation risk on private assets. (b) Concentration risk (largest holding ~25% of portfolio) elevates single-name outcome dependency. (c) Persistent wide discount could linger if exits remain scarce or rates stay higher for longer. (d) Advisory structure changes (2025) are related-party transactions; while designed to align incentives and broaden fee opportunities, execution and governance oversight matter. (e) No dividend; total return relies on NAV growth and discount narrowing.
Stock Performance
Price is 90p (GBp). 52-week range: 58.28p–113.39p; current sits ~20.6% below the 52-week high and ~54% above the 52-week low. 50-day average: 86.91p; 200-day average: 89.26p—shares trade modestly above both, suggesting stabilization after prior weakness. 1-year change: -12.6% (structured data), consistent with external sources citing negative 12-month performance into 2H25. Liquidity: 3-month average volume 561,195 shares (10-day avg ~938,336), adequate but modest for institutional scale. Versus analysts, MarketScreener shows 3-analyst consensus OUTPERFORM, average target 139p (~+41.5% from ~98p in Jun-2025), indicating perceived upside tied to discount narrowing and exits.
CAN SLIM Analysis
Current Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS) Growth:
Not applicable/negative. TTM EPS is -0.07, reflecting fair value marks typical for investment companies. No reliable quarterly EPS growth trend is observable or meaningful for a venture-style trust. CAN SLIM prefers strong, accelerating quarterly EPS—AUGM does not meet this criterion.
Annual Earnings Increases:
Inconsistent. As with most venture investment trusts, reported earnings swing with unrealized valuation changes and exits. 2024 interim results highlighted losses due to negative investment marks. There is no multi-year record of steady EPS expansion; therefore, AUGM does not satisfy the ‘A’ in CAN SLIM.
New Products, Management, or Price Highs:
Mixed. Positives: (1) Portfolio activity continues (e.g., 2025 investment in RetailBook); (2) Governance refresh—new Chairman William Reeve (Nov-2024); (3) 2025 advisory restructuring to improve incentive alignment and potential fee-sharing on future funds; (4) Capital Markets Day with portfolio CEOs (Tide, Zopa, iwoca) and LSE CEO indicates ecosystem engagement; (5) Potential reopening of IPO window could be a structural ‘New’ for exits. Negatives: Price is not near new highs, so no technical ‘N’ breakout signal.
Supply and Demand:
Moderately constructive. Shares outstanding: ~167.3m. Active buyback authorization up to c.15% (Sep-2024) can reduce free float and support price when used. Average daily volume reasonable for a small-cap trust. However, absent heavy, sustained demand or a strong accumulation day profile, the ‘S’ case is fair rather than strong.
Leader or Laggard:
Laggard on relative strength. 1-year change of -12.6% and trading well below 52-week high indicate underperformance vs many UK peers/indices through mid-2025. CAN SLIM prefers top decile relative strength names near new highs—criterion not met.
Institutional Sponsorship:
Adequate. External data shows institutional ownership around 50%+ and three analysts cover the stock with an OUTPERFORM consensus and 139p average target (as of Jun-2025). Sponsorship exists but has not yet translated into a re-rating, likely pending exits or discount-narrowing catalysts.
Market Direction:
Mixed/volatile. 2025 featured tariff shocks, uneven global growth, and UK small/mid-cap undervaluation themes. While recent UK risk appetite has improved intermittently, O’Neil emphasizes buying only in confirmed market uptrends. With macro still choppy, this box is only partially checked.
Conclusion
Through a CAN SLIM lens, AUGM does not qualify: no strong quarterly/annual EPS growth, not a price leader near highs, and market direction is mixed. However, the wide discount to NAV, lack of structural gearing, ongoing portfolio progress, and improving conditions for exits create a credible medium-term value thesis. Maintain HOLD/Watchlist and look to accumulate on confirmation: (1) tangible exits above carrying value, (2) discount narrowing trend, and (3) price/volume strength above key moving averages.
Research Sources (15 found)
Results - Latest market news
Published: 12/3/2025
RNS Hotlist with Zak Mir: BZT, EPP, OPTI, V3TC, CAB, TRU ...
Published: 8/14/2025
Total revenue of Augmentum Fintech PLC – LSE:AUGM – TradingView
Published: 10/31/2025
QuotedData's Economic and Political Monthly Roundup
Published: 8/18/2025
Business news - Guidance
Published: 12/2/2025
Augmentum Fintech (AUGM) Competitors
Published: 11/8/2025
Augmentum Fintech Company Overview, Contact Details & Competitors
Published: 7/7/2025
Investegate | Company Announcement
Published: 10/24/2025
Augmentum Fintech: Fintech on a wide discount
Published: 8/9/2025
Augmentum Fintech (LON:AUGM) News (Jul 2025)
Published: 11/6/2025
Augmentum Fintech plc - Notice of Annual Results and Investor Meet Company Presentation, and Capital Markets Day
Published: 6/16/2025
Augmentum Fintech plc - Capital Markets Day Update – Company Announcement
Published: 6/18/2025
Circ re Amendment of Investment Advisory Structure | Company Announcement | Investegate
Published: 10/23/2025
Augmentum Fintech (LON:AUGM) Trading Down 1.6% - Here's Why
Published: 10/17/2025
Global Vision Diverse Opportunities
Published: 7/9/2025
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